Published:2011/6/7 3:41:00 Author:Li xiao na From:SeekIC
The price on the supply chain is reducing constantly, and the installment of the solar energy will exceed 21GWp all over the world. From the long term, some large solar energy market has reduced the subsidy. It is very difficult for this market to have the same growth rate in the future years.
IMS Research has modified its previous predication. It predicated that this market will have fifteen percent of growth rate, so it has modified the 18GWp up to 21GWp. The price of the supply chain declines quickly, which Is one of the important elements to stimulate the demand of mature solar energy market; therefore, IMS’s predication is so optimistic. What is more, Italy will pass the energy law, so the uncertainties in this market will be less.
IMS believes that this market can restart from the wait-and-see state. In order to wait for the new energy law from the Italy government, the entire market is in the wait-and-see state in the beginning of this year. The installment has almost stopped in first quarter of this year. After the uncertainties have been eliminated, the installment will increase again, which will reach the peak in the forth quarter. If they want to find out the long-term motive force, the European practitioners must get out of Europe. Either the mature solar energy market will reduce the subsidy, or have the information of FIT reduction.
Therefore, IMS predicates that the demand of solar energy device will reduce by 3GWp in Italy and Germany 2012. The solar energy device from Europe may reduce in 2011 and 2012. The ratio taken by Europe will become smaller in the world’s solar energy market. The solar energy can not return to the peak which is before 2010 in a short term. When it comes to the other market, IMS predicated that the total quantity of Asian solar energy market will exceed 5GWp. Some manufacturers in mainland of China have already been very important, but it may be limited by the control plan of the government. Whether this market can find its motive force relies on the balance between the cost and subsidy reduction. The related integrated circuit is JW050F.
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